MODI – 3 - COALITION POLITICS
The details of seats won by NDA headed by BJP and by INDIA
bloc headed by Congress are tabulated below:
Many BJP supporters including E-Touch were disheartened, as
BJP alone could not win at least 272 seats in Modi’s third term as well so that
Modi could rule Bharat without any coalition compulsions.
But a careful study of the seats won by BJP + and Congress + gives an interesting and
intelligent positions both for the two parties.
The position is classically expressed in a post which reads
as under:
On the
lighter note (Courtesy: S. Shankar), the readers can have some laughs and
relief after reading the message below:
“Outcome
and analysis of this election:
BJP -
we are happy because again we are the largest party.
Congress-we
are happy because our seats are doubled.
SP-we
are happy because our excellent performance in UP.
TDP-We
are happy because we are forming state government and we will be the part of
central Government.
TMC-We
are happy because we stopped BJP in WB.
JDU-we
are happy because we will be part of central Government and will edge.
EVM-we
are happy because no one will blame me.
Election
commission-we are happy because no one will blame us and no more press
conference required.
And
Kejriwal
-I am happy because now my sugar is under control.
Public
is also happy as good opportunity to buy because of market crash!
Rare
election where everyone is happy. 😃”
And now the data below will make you to stand up from your seat and exclaim “CHEERS MODI JI! YOU DID IT”:
In 35 years, no party apart from the BJP has
won more than 232 seats. Please view Infographic below:
Hence Indian
People’s Verdict had estopped INDIA BLOC headed by Congress from blaming the
EVM/VVPAT and the Election Commission.
All Exit
Polls which predicted landslide victory for BJP with majority had terribly gone
wrong much to the joy of INDIA BLOC political parties.
Now let us
study whether the coalition position is fragile or strong for Modi to complete
his full term of five years.
Answer is:
Fragile – an Emphatic NO; Strong - an emphatic YES.
This is
based on Arithmetic with no Chemistry!
HOW?
Bench Mark
is 272 Lok Sabha Seats.
BJP + is 293
with BJP alone with 240, while INDIA bloc is 233 with Congress alone with 99. It
becomes a battle between 240 VS 99 and 293 VS 233. In both these scenarios BJP
and NDA are winners.
Even if Chandrababu
Naidu + Nitish Kumar severed NDA alliance with their total strength of 28 seats
to join Congress bloc, the total seats of 261 seats of Congress bloc are still
short by 11 seats of Bench Mark. Further poaching of Shiv Sena (7) and LJP (5)
(Totalling 12) by Congress could not happen in view of their political
ideologies – Shiv Sena opposes Uddhav Thackeray and LJP opposes Nitish Kumar. To
check mate Naidu Ji’s any move to withdraw his support and joining Congress
bloc, his arch rival Jagan with his 4 seats is there ever ready to support NDA.
Chandrababu
Naidu and Nitish Kumar had previously deserted NDA alliance and had felt bad
about their own decisions thereafter. Further Nitish Kumar had gone on records
that he will hereafter never leave NDA and there is nothing on records to
disprove his statement.
Above all,
BJP’s 240 is no match for Congress’s 99 apart from major hurdles in deciding
who will be Prime Ministerial candidate and their sharing of ministerial berths
and common minimum programme etc. for Congress bloc.
Already
there is a news item indicating that out of 17 non-allied MPs, 10 were ready to
support NDA.
Major
casualties in the coalition politics for Modi will be to waste time and energy
to discuss with alliance partners to implement various schemes. Modi, with his
vast experiences, could find solutions to all coalition hurdles, when faced and
hence Modi will successfully complete his full five-year terms as PM.
BJP’s success in
capturing power in Odisha ending 24 long years of Naveen Patnaik is a great
feat. Above all, Naveen Patnaik, who ruled Odisha for 24 years in five
consecutive terms as CM, was defeated by BJP candidate Laxman Bag –a commoner former
daily wager securing around 91,000 votes as against Naveen’s 75,000 votes in
Kantabanji Assembly Segment with a victory margin of 16,000. Unbelievable and
shocking defeat at the end of his political career. That is Politics and
Election!
And further BJP had retained Arunachal Pradesh with 46 seats out of 60 for third consecutive terms. No Anti-Incumbency factor was felt in the results.
In Kerala BJP had won one Lok Sabha seat for the first time
and thereby it made history in opening its account. Congress in Kerala had won
14 seats out of 20, while the ruling CPM got just 1 seat like BJP.
The main reasons for BJP’s failure to cross half way mark of
272 seats in Lok Sabha are:
1.
In
UP, BJP could win just 33, while SP – 37 and Congress 6.
2.
Similarly
in Maharashtra, BJP + could win 18 whereas Congress + won 30.
Overall performance by BJP in the Assembly elections were
exemplary, while that of Lok Sabha Elections were quite good – considering the
facts it is Modi’s third term and anti-incumbency factors had to be overcome.
One lurking doubt emerged and E-Touch wants to highlight the
same.
When NDA had secured a majority in Lok Sabha election, why
Congress Bloc expects Naidu Ji and Kumar Ji to desert BJP to join their bloc?
Is it not against political ethics and democratic principles to value and
accept people’s verdicts as such?
But to the shock and surprise of E-Touch, none – no media and
no press had objected to such moves by Congress bloc which speak volumes about
their low value systems. Because Medias were kept at a distance for the last 10
years by Modi JI without any undue favours and perks for them thereby earning
their ire and unjust criticism.
Bharat can be proud in MODI 3, as almost all Presidents/Prime
Ministers of countries in the west, east, south, and north of the world
including Arab Countries had congratulated Modi for his victory. But alas! None
from the Congress +! Such an attitude of the Opposition Political
Parties is an unhealthy and undemocratic and above all insult to the voters who
favoured NDA.
MODI -3 will become a reality on June 9 with his swearing function.
E-Touch prays Almighty God for Modi Ji’s successful rule as
PM to make Bharat GREAT IN ALL RESPECTS AND FULLY SELF RELIANT AND DEVELOPED.
E-TOUCH PRESENTS MODI JI WITH A BOUQUET FOR HIS SUCCESS IN
LOK SABHA ELECTION 2024 AND WISH MODI JI ALL SUCCESS IN HIS VISION TO MAKE OUR
BHARAT FULLY DEVELOPED IN ALL RESPECTS.
JAI HO! MODI JI.
Comments