Lok Sabha 2019 Election’s Prediction Courtesy: Shankar Krishnan
The Man Who Predicted 2014 Indian Election, 2016 United
States polls and recently held Punjab and Uttar Pradesh elections Reveals Who
Will Take The Throne In 2019.
A top ten global social CIO, cyber security, Information
Technology expert, data scientist, strategist, advisor, Gaurav Pradhan is a brand in
himself.
What makes this man interesting is that his political predictions are
always on point. He isn’t a psychologist or a numerologist but someone who
predicts things based on data and mood of the people. Entrepreneur India caught
up with data scientist Gaurav Pradhan at the World AI
Show, Mumbai organised by Trescon to know his
observation for the most talked about elections.
“Predicting Elections Through Mood Analytics“ is based
on what people are talking across social media on all the platforms. Then there
is intelligence information, and then geopolitics. So if Pakistan wants Hilary
and Saudi wants Hilary that means the nation is moving towards Trump,” explains
Pradhan.“
In 2014, the youth
was the undercurrent. People were sick of scams, it was everywhere. That time
the component was not the seasoned voters like me or my grandfather. It was the
youth and they wanted to change the future. This was capitalized by Narendra Modi as a nationalist
movement.
The last election was not about the party but the
leader. Similarly, the 2019 election will also be about the leader.
The seasoned people are talking about party politics
while the youth is focused on the leader,” he points out.
US Election 2016: It was Never Trump Vs Hillary. While
for the majority the United States 2016 election was about Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton, for
Pradhan it was always about Mr Clinton vs Mrs Clinton!
While this statement might sound aberrant his facts
don’t.
“See, understand Trump is rich. Hillary is not that
rich, she wants to make money for herself. Trump on the other hand wants to
make money for the United States. Nationalism was picking up, everyone was sick
of jobs being taken by people from around the globe. So the mood set was
Nationalism,” says Pradhan.
Decoding Punjab and Uttar Pradesh Election: The result
of Uttar Pradesh election shocked millions.
“I strongly wrote that Punjab election should go to Congress. I am the
one who pointed out that BJP will get 300+ seats in the UP election. No one
else predicted it, not even Modi or Amit Shah. I drove my car 12,500 kilometers at my own
expense. I picked up data points from the community, small villages and framed
a chat that said it will be 300+. Everyone laughed and look what happened? In
fact, in 2015, I also wrote a thread about Yogi Adityanath and said he would be the CM, there I am.”
2019 Election – Who will Take the throne? Those who
think BJP has lost its support and people are unhappy might want to hear this.
“People who are making those comments are either middle
class or the small business class who were saving taxes and now they have lost
it. Now here comes data science. I am picking data from rural India. How many
families have benefited from the easy supply of cooking gas and electricity?
How many have got access to toilets and how many kids are going to school now?
When I study this I get a conservative figure of 40 crore or so. I divide it
by two, it is twenty crore. You know in 2014,
the elections were won by a small margin of 1.4 crore and here you have a larger swing. So my calculation
says 2019 belongs to Modi.”
Have you noticed this? PM Modi is inaugurating one or other infrastructure project
every few days. That too in different parts of the country. Do a google search on "Modi inaugurates"
and find some interesting results which are put down here briefly.
In a nutshell, this government has been finishing long
pending projects and executing brand new projects in record time. Be sure there
will be many more coming in the next few weeks before the election commission
restrictions set in. This list itself is big, hope to see more. One question
also needs to be asked, what has the Congress been doing all these many years?
1.Bogibeel rail bridge -
largest rail and road bridge in India. built in Assam. Started in 2002,
languished till 2015 and then launched on 25-Dec-2018.
2. Solapur-Tuljapur-Osmanabad highway in
Maharashtra - started in 2014 and finished on 9 Jan 20193.
3.Varanasi multi modal
port for inland waterway project - started Aug 2016, completed 12 Nov 20184.
4. Eastern Peripheral
expressway - foundation laid in Nov 2015, launched nov 2018.
5.Western Peripheral
expressway - started in 2006 by Haryana govt, languished till 2016, inaugurated in November 2018.
6. India's largest
Cancer hospital in Haryana - finished in 3 years, launched on 18 Dec 2017.
7.Kollam Bypass in Kerala
-13.1 km length. First foundation laid in 1972. Only 4.5 km completed till
2015. Inaugurated by Modi in Jan 2019.
8.Bhawan-Bhairon Passenger Ropeway
Inaugurated For Vaishno Devi Pilgrims –
launched dec 25, 2018.
9.First airport in
Sikkim, first launched in 2008, work stalled till 2014 due to protests by
villagers. Completed on 24th September 2018.
10.Kishanganga dam project in
Kashmir – 330Mw hydroelectric power plant. Started in 2007 was scheduled to be
completed in 2016, halted due to Pakistan going to Hague. Re-started in 2014
and completed on 19 may 2018.
11.Two sewerage
infrastructure projects worth Rs 199.65 crore under Namami Gange Programme in Prayagraj – 17 dec 2018.
12.Jharsguda airport – second one
in Odisha – joint one by AAI
and state government. Started in July 2013 – launched in Sep 2018.
13. Mundra LNG terminal in
Gujarat – started 2015, launched Sep 2018.
14.Kota Chambal bridge –
started in 2006, stopped due to environmental clearances and re-started in
2007. Was to be completed in 2012 but kept delaying. Finally launched in may
2017.
15.Bansagar canal project Mirzapur – agreement for
water and power share between MP, UP and Bihar as well as construction.
Originally started in 1978, completed and inaugurated by Modi in July 2018.
So please ask the neutral and dynasty loving friends -
what has dynasty
been doing for so many decades - a government in 4.5 years could
achieve
so much - why couldn't they?
This is called development that will make India a
developed country,
not doles or secularism.
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