End of Corona Is Coming Soon
“End of Corona is
coming soon” - This is the message from Michael Levitt, a Nobel Laureate and
Standard biophysicist. Michael Levitt
received the 2013 Nobel Prize in chemistry.
Same Scientist
Levitt had warned China in January this year that Covid-19 would be severe and
there would be more deaths in the coming months the number increasing every
day. His predictions were proved correct
and total number of confirmed COVID-19 in China peaked to around 80,000 with
about 3,250 deaths.
Again he predicted
that there would no more further chronic affections of this virus and
deaths in China and confidently declared
to his friend in February 1 that the number of deaths soon would be decreasing
every day and it happened as predicted by Levitt. His forecast turned out to be remarkably accurate: As of March 16, China had counted a total of
80,298 cases and 3,245 deaths — in a nation of nearly 1.4 billion people where
roughly 10 million die every year. The number of newly diagnosed patients had
dropped to around 25 a day, with no cases of community spread.
Hence Levitt’s
soothing prediction of “We are going to be Fine, Soon globally” – gained wide
publicity and many had come out from the panic scenario – hoping that ‘Soon
They will see Light at the End of Tunnel.”
Now he foresees a similar outcome in
the United States and the rest of the world.
While many epidemiologists are
warning of months, or even years, of massive social disruption and millions of
deaths, Levitt says the data simply don’t support such a dire
scenario — especially in areas where reasonable social distancing measures are
in place.
“What we need is to control the panic,” he
said. In the grand scheme, “we’re going to be fine.”
He analyzed data from 78 countries
that reported more than 50 new cases of COVID-19 every day and sees “signs of
recovery” in many of them. He’s not focusing on the total number of cases in a
country, but on the number of new cases identified every day — and, especially,
on the change in that number from one day to the next.
“Numbers are still noisy, but there
are clear signs of slowed growth.” As
testing facilities to detect COVID-19 are messy and hence even with incomplete
data, “a consistent decline means there’s some factor at work that is not just
noise in the numbers,” Levitt said.
Some Scientists
had not agreed with Levitt stating that “The analysis was thought-provoking, if
nothing else. Time will tell if Levitt’s predictions are correct.”
Levitt said he’s in sync with those
calling for strong measures to fight the outbreak.
The social-distancing mandates are critical — particularly the ban on
large gatherings — because the virus is so new that the population has no
immunity to it, and a vaccine is still many months away.
“This is not the time to go out
drinking with your buddies,” he said.
He remarked: "What we need is
to control the panic... we're going to be fine."
The Nobel laureate also blamed the
media for fanning out panic. Levitt said
that overreaction could trigger another crisis, with lost jobs and hopelessness
around.
He also blamed the media for causing
unnecessary panic by focusing on the increase in the cumulative number of cases
and highlighting the cases of celebrities who contracted the virus.
In a lighter vein one senior
associate of Israeli PM Netanyahu observed thus: I read Prof. Levitt’s
analyses, but when I have to work, I work with the Health Ministry scenarios.
At the end, as Levitt had proved
100% correct in respect of China, there is no need to doubt his predictions –
But His Strong Advice for Social Distancing is not followed to the hilt, there
is no use of blaming Levitt.
Observe Social Distancing for your
own Survival.
LET THE LIGHT THAT WE WILL BE
LIGHTING DESTROY CORONA DEVIL GLOBALLY.
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